Mogadishu, Somalia – The Ministry of Environment and Climate Change (MoECC) of the Federal Government of Somalia has released the National Climate Outlook for the Xagaa season (June–September) 2025. The seasonal forecast provides critical insights into expected rainfall patterns, potential climate-related risks, and priority areas for preparedness and response.

According to the outlook, much of southern and central Somalia is expected to receive near-average to below-average rainfall during the June to September (JJAS) period, while parts of the northern regions may experience drier-than-usual conditions. The forecast raises concerns about the possibility of extended dry spells, particularly in pastoral and agro-pastoral areas already affected by previous climate shocks.

The ministry warns that the drier outlook may increase the risk of water shortages, reduced pasture availability, and heightened food insecurity in vulnerable regions. Coastal areas may also be at risk of localized flooding due to occasional heavy downpours.

In response, the ministry has issued a set of recommendations urging humanitarian partners, government institutions, and communities to strengthen early warning systems, implement water conservation measures, and support climate-resilient livelihoods.

“This climate outlook is a crucial tool for national planning,” said a ministry spokesperson. “We call on all stakeholders to work collaboratively to mitigate the risks and protect Somali communities from the compounded effects of climate variability.”

The JJAS 2025 outlook was developed through collaboration with national meteorological services, regional climate centers, and international partners. The ministry emphasized the importance of climate data in guiding Somalia’s long-term resilience strategy amid escalating climate challenges.