Mogadishu – The Ministry of Environment and Climate Change has unveiled its highly anticipated National Climate Outlook for the upcoming Xagaa rainy season, spanning June to September 2025. Released at a briefing in Mogadishu, the report offers vital predictions on rainfall, temperatures, and potential climatic extremes and outlines the strategic guidance needed to help communities and sectors plan accordingly.

The Xagaa season, a critical period for agriculture and water management across Somalia, is projected to bring generally average rainfall in most areas, with some pockets of above-normal precipitation. However, the outlook also warns of the potential for flash floods in traditionally vulnerable riverine zones and below-normal rain in pockets of the northeast.

Analysts say this year’s forecast carries heightened significance, as the impacts of erratic rainfall in recent years have left rural populations vulnerable and complicated long-term food security. The ministry emphasized the need for local administrations and humanitarian agencies to heed the guidance, focusing on soil and water conservation measures, early flood-warning systems, and climate-resilient agricultural practices.

“Climate outlooks are key tools for mitigating risks and preparing our people,” a ministry official stated during the release. The report also highlighted links between rainfall patterns and public health, especially as wetter conditions may increase vector-borne diseases.

With national attention now turning to drought- and flood-prone areas, the government’s proactive sharing of climate intelligence aims to ensure that local leaders, farmers, and response agencies take preventative action well before the rains begin. The outlook will be complemented by further updates in the coming weeks, as meteorologists track evolving weather patterns across the region.